Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.026321 0.028368 0.030425 0.032644 0.034967 0.037323 0.039892
2025-11-30 0.022326 0.025524 0.028857 0.032577 0.036600 0.040806 0.045522
2025-12-07 0.019530 0.023343 0.027427 0.032099 0.037265 0.042778 0.049077
2025-12-14 0.017337 0.021554 0.026179 0.031581 0.037668 0.044272 0.051932
2025-12-21 0.015328 0.019788 0.024791 0.030748 0.037576 0.045094 0.053930
2025-12-28 0.014461 0.019254 0.024728 0.031345 0.039032 0.047592 0.057755
2026-01-04 0.013445 0.018462 0.024296 0.031454 0.039877 0.049356 0.060718
2026-01-11 0.012427 0.017597 0.023717 0.031336 0.040409 0.050727 0.063201
2026-01-18 0.011852 0.017236 0.023707 0.031860 0.041670 0.052919 0.066617
2026-01-25 0.011085 0.016586 0.023304 0.031877 0.042301 0.054357 0.069146
2026-02-01 0.010379 0.015972 0.022910 0.031874 0.042883 0.055718 0.071571
2026-02-08 0.009742 0.015412 0.022555 0.031891 0.043466 0.057065 0.073968
2026-02-15 0.009019 0.014729 0.022049 0.031744 0.043891 0.058281 0.076293
2026-02-22 0.008367 0.014113 0.021611 0.031673 0.044411 0.059624 0.078792
2026-03-01 0.007612 0.013310 0.020888 0.031203 0.044405 0.060308 0.080487
2026-03-08 0.006908 0.012532 0.020162 0.030695 0.044323 0.060876 0.082023
2026-03-15 0.006152 0.011632 0.019229 0.029877 0.043816 0.060897 0.082874
2026-03-22 0.005934 0.011518 0.019363 0.030464 0.045097 0.063125 0.086421
2026-03-29 0.005575 0.011166 0.019149 0.030571 0.045751 0.064570 0.089007
2026-04-05 0.005171 0.010720 0.018782 0.030454 0.046103 0.065629 0.091113
2026-04-12 0.004985 0.010607 0.018882 0.030969 0.047277 0.067720 0.094502
2026-04-19 0.004667 0.010261 0.018629 0.030986 0.047787 0.068970 0.096846
2026-04-26 0.004364 0.009921 0.018372 0.030983 0.048263 0.070172 0.099128